| The following GAIN reports were released on February 13, 2025. _______ FAS New Delhi lowered the marketing year (MY) 2024/2025 forecast for rapeseed area harvested to 8.9 million hectares (HA) and production to 11.7 million metric tons (MMT), due to a shift in cropping pattern toward more lucrative crops. Rapeseed oil production for MY 2024/2025 is revised lower to 4 MMT, driven by the lower oilseed production. Production of rapeseed meal is forecasted lower at 6.2 MMT owing to the availability of other price-competitive meals. Post's sunflower oil import forecast is lowered to 1.9 MMT for the MY 2024/2025, driven by India's increased edible oil import duties. In 2024, Kenya's avocado production declined by 11.2 percent to 562 thousand metric tons (TMT), driven by reduced rainfall. Despite this setback, production is expected to rebound by four percent in 2025, reaching 585 TMT, supported by an increase in the land under avocado production and an increase in yield as a result of quality control improvements. Bolstered by government incentives such as the provision of high-quality seedlings, farmer training programs, access to subsidized inputs, planted area is projected to increase by six percent in 2025 to reach 34,000 hectares. The value of exports in 2024 are estimated to have surged by 11 percent to reach $159 million. The increase in value was driven by increase in demand for Kenyan avocado and that boosted its competitiveness in international markets. Domestic consumption accounts for 47 percent of production, with 2025 projections at 280 thousand metric tons. The Philippine Department of Agriculture (DA) declared a food security emergency related to rice on February 3, 2025, citing an extraordinary increase in prices. This declaration allows the DA to sell National Food Authority rice buffer stocks to government agencies and entities, local government units, and "Kadiwa" outlets to help ease prices and prepare government warehouses for the upcoming harvest season. For more information, or for an archive of all FAS GAIN reports, please visit gain.fas.usda.gov/. |
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