Growing tensions in the Taiwan Strait and their global ripple effects

 |  | | Amid escalating tension in the Taiwan Strait, more U.S. lawmakers arrived in Taiwan this week, the third such visit this month. Here’s some of our top recent coverage on the situation and its global ripple effects.
Since U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s visit to Taipei on Aug. 2, it has become clear that most of the Indo-Pacific—from Southeast Asia to the Pacific Islands—supports Beijing’s cause, Derek Grossman writes. But several countries are growing more concerned about Taiwan’s situation. One of them is India. Its veiled criticism of China shows it could shed some of its conservatism on Taiwan; the time to deepen political ties is now, Harsh V. Pant and Shashank Mattoo argue.
Meanwhile, FP’s Howard W. French argues that analysts are asking the wrong questions about potential outcomes for Taiwan. Instead of focusing on whether it could successfully defend itself, the priority should be to prevent war in the first place. “The best outcome for Taiwan, therefore, may be postponing a reckoning with Beijing as long as possible, hoping that … it can buy enough time for China’s political culture to begin to change,” French writes.
Biden and Xi now look likely to meet in person at the G-20 summit in Indonesia in November. If they will indeed sit down together in just three months, their respective teams will already be thinking of ways to repair the damage. Any long-term stability over Taiwan, James Crabtree writes, will require Biden and Xi not just to shore up the crumbling status quo but to rebuild it—a prospect that presently looks all but impossible.”
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