Monday, May 19, 2025

GAIN Reports from May 16, 2025

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The following GAIN reports were released on May 16, 2025.

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Chile: Dairy Import Requirements to Chile

Following several detentions of dairy products at Chilean ports that reached over 1 Million USD , Post reminds U.S. exporters of the import requirements set by the Chilean Ministry of Agriculture for dairy products.

 

China: Pet Food Market Update 2025

In 2025, China's pet food market is expected to see 6 to 8 percent growth in high-end and functional products, with a shift towards balanced nutrition and health support. High-demand product categories include staple food, treats, nutritional supplements, and medicines, with pet owners showing a stronger willingness to spend on these items. U.S. pet food exports to China hit a record high of $296.6 million in 2024, despite a decline in China's total pet food imports, demonstrating consistent consumer preference for premium U.S. products.

 

Colombia: Coffee Annual

In Marketing Year (MY) 2025/2026, Colombian coffee production is forecast to decrease 5.3 percent to 12.5 million bags green bean equivalent (GBE), mainly as a result of heavy rains. This reduction comes after a period of recovery in production due to El Niño, which accelerated coffee tree growth and promoted favorable soil moisture conditions for young production systems. Coffee prices remain at a record high, discouraging farmer investments in replanting and renovations. As a result of lower production, Colombian coffee exports are expected to slightly decrease in MY 2025/2026 to 11.8 million bags GBE. The United States remains the top export destination for Colombian coffee followed by the European Union and Canada.

 

Egypt: Sugar Annual

FAS Cairo (Post) forecasts Egyptian sugar production in marketing year (MY) 2025/26 (October-September) to rise to 3.18 million metric tons (MMT). This increase is driven by industrial demand and higher prices for sugar beets, incentivizing many farmers to plant more beets. Post forecasts that Egypt will meet 82.5 percent of its domestic sugar consumption demand and import the remaining 17.5 percent in MY 2025/26. Brazil has been the major supplier of raw sugar to Egypt over the past five years and is likely to remain so in MY 2025/26.

 

Nicaragua: Coffee Annual

FAS Managua forecasts a strong coffee harvest of 2.58 million 60-kilogram bags for MY 2025/26. This optimistic outlook is attributed to increased agriculture input applications (mainly fertilizers) due to high coffee prices and expectations for a more balanced rainy season. In MY 2024/25, Nicaraguan coffee production recovered to more typical historic averages after an El Niño-induced reduction in MY 2023/24. Ongoing challenges for the sector include limited access to long-term credit, a tight labor force, and export delays resulting from logistical constraints in Central America.

 

Peru: Peruvian Avocado Exports Expected to Bounce Back

Peruvian avocado exports are estimated to reach 630,000 metric tons (MT) in calendar year (CY) 2025, increasing two percent compared to the previous year. Avocado exports in 2024 decreased four percent from to 2023, totaling 594,000 MT a decline due to unusual cold weather conditions reducing productivity. Production is expected to bounce back, but a potential La Niña is looming on the Peruvian coast and may reduce avocado production in CY 2025 despite an expansion of planted area.

 

 

For more information, or for an archive of all FAS GAIN reports, please visit gain.fas.usda.gov/.


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