The following GAIN reports were released on April 28, 2025. _______ A large portion of Australia's winter cropping area is well-positioned, heading into the forecast year. In New South Wales, Queensland, and Western Australia, early seasonal conditions are favorable, indicating potential for strong wheat and barley production. In contrast, much of South Australia and western Victoria remains very dry, with low soil moisture and limited rainfall this fall. However, there is still ample time—through to the end of June 2025—for rainfall to support planting in these regions. FAS/Canberra forecasts a decline in wheat and barley production for the upcoming season, although output is expected to remain well above the previous 10-year average. Wheat and barley exports are projected to decrease, due to lower production. Sorghum production is forecast to remain high for a fifth consecutive year in MY 2025/26, with exports expected to rise with increased output. Conversely, rice production and exports are anticipated to decline sharply in MY 2025/26, due to reduced water availability. On April 18, 2025, the People's Republic of China (China's) State Administration for Market Regulation (SAMR) released the Announcement for Deployment of Inspection and Rectification Actions for Edible Vegetable Oils. Partially spurred by domestic food safety incidents in 2024, the announcement outlines how local and national authorities will work together to enforce regulations across the edible oil value chain, including production, sales, and transportation. The regulations apply to domestically produced and imported products, as well as products sold through online and offline channels, and local officials will intensify inspection and enforcement actions from April to December 2025. On March 27, 2025, The People's Republic of China (China's) National Health Commission (NHC) and the State Administration for Market Regulation (SAMR) jointly released the National Food Safety Standard Code of Hygienic Practice of Producing Prepared Meat Products (GB 31661-2025). This new standard regulates the production of prepared meat products. The final standard will enter into force on March 16, 2026. China notified the draft standard to the WTO on November 15, 2021. This report provides an unofficial translation of the final standard. Stakeholders should conduct their own review of the regulations to assess any market or regulatory effect on their business. New Zealand's grain and feed sector is relatively small on a global scale, producing around 2.1 million metric tons (MMT) annually, well below the country's total demand for feed, leading to the import of approximately 60 percent of its grain and feed needs. Dairy consumption accounts for 75 percent, while poultry makes up another 12 percent. Strong dairy prices and expanding poultry production efficiency have resulted in a steady demand for supplemental feed. This includes imports of palm kernel extract, wheat, soybean meal, and distillers dried grains with solubles (DDGS). However, the grain sector is under pressure from high on-farm inflation, which includes elevated input costs and interest rates. This financial strain has partially offset the advantages of strong milk and meat prices. The Ministry of Trade temporarily banned lemon exports as of April 8, 2025, due to a predicted supply shortage following cold weather and frost damage in the southeast. However, the Ministry lifted the export ban days later following intense negative reactions from lemon producers and exporters. The European Parliament took an initial step to open market access for beet and oilseed planting seeds from Ukraine. The EU approved cereal planting seeds from Ukraine in 2020. For more information, or for an archive of all FAS GAIN reports, please visit gain.fas.usda.gov/. |
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