| The following Global Agricultural Information Network (GAIN) reports were released on Friday, April 23, 2021.
Burma: Beans and Pulses Update Burma's beans and pulses production in MY 2021/22 is forecast to decrease due to reduced use of fertilizers and pesticides and a return to rice production in low-land areas with the expectation of favorable weather. Burma's pulses exports in MY 2020/21 are forecast to decrease due to a return to normal export demand with slow trade following the military coup. Post projects that MY 2021/22 exports will be flat with the expectation of regular import demand from India.
Cambodia: Grain and Feed Annual Post revised its marketing year 2020/2021 (MY20/21) estimates of rice harvested area and production at 3,265 thousand hectares (THA) and 9.48 million metric tons (MMT), lower than the USDA official numbers. Post forecasts that MY21/22 harvested area and production will reach 3,310THA and 9.61MMT based on expectations for improved weather conditions. Post revised its MY20/21 estimates for corn harvested area and production down to 185THA and 895 thousand metric tons (TMT), lower than the USDA official numbers, and forecasts MY21/22 harvested area and production at 190THA and 920TMT based on improved weather conditions and expectations for increased feed corn demand.
In November 2020, hurricanes Eta and Iota flooded the Sula Valley. Approximately 2500 HA of planted sugarcane were lost and one sugar mill was disabled. The MY2021 harvest was delayed one month. As consequence, MY2021 revised estimates dropped 13% and 39% for sugar production and exports, respectively. Recovery efforts are expected to last until the end of 2021. Therefore, MY2022 forecasts signal a rebound to pre-hurricane estimates: 5.15 million MT of sugarcane harvested, 544,000 MT of sugar produced and 174,000 MT sugar exported. The COVID-19 pandemic had no significant effect on MY2021 sugarcane and sugar production. However, confinement (coupled with hurricane relief efforts) increased direct domestic sugar consumption and decreased industrial demand.
India: IMD Forecasts Normal 2021 Southwest Monsoon On April 16, the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasted a normal 2021 Southwest Monsoon, suggesting that June to September rainfall will likely be 98 percent of the Long Period Average (LPA) of 88 cm. Above normal high temperatures are forecast from April to June in north, northwest India and a few divisions of east central India.
Kazakhstan: First Stage 2021 Meat TRQs for Kazakhstan On December 22, 2020, the first stage of Kazakhstan's 2021 meat quotas were announced by the Kazakhstani Ministry of Trade and Integration. However, text of the regulation became available later in April 2021. The decree approves tariff quotas for certain types of meat and poultry products for 2021, per specific importer, and came into force the day it was signed.
South Africa: South Africa Initiates Review of Poultry Tariff Structure On March 16, 2021, the International Trade Administration Commission (ITAC) announced plans to review the tariff structure of poultry (fowls of the species Gallus Domesticus). ITAC will undertake this tariff investigation, which stems from the Poultry Sector Master Plan that was agreed to and signed by government and the poultry industry stakeholders in November 2019. In 2018, South Africa imported 566,208 tons of poultry products; however, there was a decline over the following two years with total poultry imports dropping to 485,542 tons in 2020. The total poultry imports declined by 11 percent from 2020 to 2019. Post forecasts a 15 percent decrease in imports for the year 2021.
Export prices for all grades of rice remain unchanged from the previous week as most businesses were closed during the Thai New Year holiday.
Taiwan: Taiwan Finds Lumpy Skin Disease in Cattle and Begins Vaccinations Taiwan reported cases of Lumpy Skin Disease in cattle on the main island of Taiwan in April 2021 and Taiwan's Council of Agriculture began a vaccination program in response. This report contains a link to Taiwan's notification of the outbreak to the World Organization For Animal Health (OIE).
Ukraine: Grain and Feed Annual Marketing year (MY) 2020/21 in Ukraine resulted in lower-than-expected production volumes for all major grains (wheat, barley and corn). Yields decreased due to excessively dry weather in springsummer 2020. The combination of growing domestic grain prices and government-imposed export caps slowed the pace of exports. This slowing of exports may translate into higher ending stocks, especially for wheat. Domestic demand for grains is gradually shrinking due to decreasing population and animal numbers. MY2021/22 production is forecast higher compared to MY2020/21 numbers translating into a higher MY2021/22 export forecast as well.
Ukraine sets an export cap for sunflower oil at 5,380 thousand metric tons (TMT)
For more information, or for an archive of all FAS GAIN reports, please visit gain.fas.usda.gov/.
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Monday, April 26, 2021
GAIN Reports from Friday, April 23, 2021
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